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Difference between revisions of "Talk:Raster of Guk"
(Created page with "Are we sure this mob has a 5% spawn rate? The person who recommends a 10 hour camp window is either optimistic, or 5% is lower than the actual spawn rate. 10 hour expected c...") |
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Assuming 3 spawn opportunities per EQ day. | Assuming 3 spawn opportunities per EQ day. | ||
| − | 8.3*3 = 25 opportunities to kill Raster in hours | + | 8.3*3 = 25 opportunities to kill Raster in 10 hours |
Using binomial distribution: | Using binomial distribution: | ||
Revision as of 23:29, 24 April 2016
Are we sure this mob has a 5% spawn rate? The person who recommends a 10 hour camp window is either optimistic, or 5% is lower than the actual spawn rate.
10 hour expected camp is 600 minute expected camp.
Assume 72 minutes per eq day.
600/72 = 8.3 eq days per 10 RL hours
Assuming 3 spawn opportunities per EQ day.
8.3*3 = 25 opportunities to kill Raster in 10 hours
Using binomial distribution:
Probability = (25 choose 1)*p^2*q^2
When probabilty to spawn is 5%, p=0.05, q=0.95 ( 25 choose 1)*0.05^2*0.95^2 = 0.06
6% is far from a guarantee, even when camping 10 hours.
If Raster has 10% chance to spawn, probability increases to 20% over 10 hour RL camp.
If Raster has 20% chance to spawn, probability increases to 64% over 10 hour RL camp.
If Raster has 25% chance to spawn, probability increases to 88% over 10 hour RL camp.
