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Difference between revisions of "Talk:An iksar betrayer"
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I borrowed this from my work on the raster spawn probabilities, details for Raster below. I simply changed the number of PH's per day (3 PH locs times 4.5 spawns per day per PH loc) | I borrowed this from my work on the raster spawn probabilities, details for Raster below. I simply changed the number of PH's per day (3 PH locs times 4.5 spawns per day per PH loc) | ||
| − | + | [i] | |
Probability that Raster spawns in 10 hour window is 1 minus the probability that Raster spawns exactly 0 times over 10 hours. | Probability that Raster spawns in 10 hour window is 1 minus the probability that Raster spawns exactly 0 times over 10 hours. | ||
| + | |||
10 hours RL camp recommended by author. 10*60 = 600 minute recommended camp. | 10 hours RL camp recommended by author. 10*60 = 600 minute recommended camp. | ||
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Assume 72 RL minute per EQ day. | Assume 72 RL minute per EQ day. | ||
| + | |||
600/72 = 8.3 EQ days over 10 RL hours | 600/72 = 8.3 EQ days over 10 RL hours | ||
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Assume 3 spawn opportunities per EQ day. | Assume 3 spawn opportunities per EQ day. | ||
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8.3*3 = 25 spawns in 10 RL hours. | 8.3*3 = 25 spawns in 10 RL hours. | ||
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Using binomial distribution to find probability Raster spawns ZERO times: | Using binomial distribution to find probability Raster spawns ZERO times: | ||
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(n choose k)*p^(k)*q^(n-k) = (25 choose 0)*0.05^0*0.95*(25) = 0.28 | (n choose k)*p^(k)*q^(n-k) = (25 choose 0)*0.05^0*0.95*(25) = 0.28 | ||
| − | 1.0-0.28 = 72% chance for Raster to spawn at least one time. | + | |
| + | 1.0-0.28 = 72% chance for Raster to spawn at least one time.[/i] | ||
[[User:Mrquincy|Mrquincy]] ([[User talk:Mrquincy|talk]]) 17:44, 13 February 2017 (UTC) | [[User:Mrquincy|Mrquincy]] ([[User talk:Mrquincy|talk]]) 17:44, 13 February 2017 (UTC) | ||
Revision as of 19:38, 13 February 2017
Not level 56 on P99. My wizard is level 55 now and I now I saw him even con some time back, probably when lvl 53 or 54.
Anyone know the best place to get him to spawn?
Notes on Spawn Probabilities
I borrowed this from my work on the raster spawn probabilities, details for Raster below. I simply changed the number of PH's per day (3 PH locs times 4.5 spawns per day per PH loc) [i] Probability that Raster spawns in 10 hour window is 1 minus the probability that Raster spawns exactly 0 times over 10 hours.
10 hours RL camp recommended by author. 10*60 = 600 minute recommended camp.
Assume 72 RL minute per EQ day.
600/72 = 8.3 EQ days over 10 RL hours
Assume 3 spawn opportunities per EQ day.
8.3*3 = 25 spawns in 10 RL hours.
Using binomial distribution to find probability Raster spawns ZERO times:
(n choose k)*p^(k)*q^(n-k) = (25 choose 0)*0.05^0*0.95*(25) = 0.28
1.0-0.28 = 72% chance for Raster to spawn at least one time.[/i]
