Talk:Raster of Guk

Are we sure this mob has a 5% spawn rate? The person who recommends a 10 hour camp window is either optimistic, or 5% is lower than the actual spawn rate.

10 hour expected camp is 600 minute expected camp.

Assume 72 minutes per eq day.

600/72 = 8.3 eq days per 10 RL hours

Assuming 3 spawn opportunities per EQ day.

8.3*3 = 25 opportunities to kill Raster in 10 hours

Using binomial distribution:

Probability = (25 choose 1)*p^2*q^2

When probabilty to spawn is 5%, p=0.05, q=0.95 ( 25 choose 1)*0.05^2*0.95^2 = 0.06

6% is far from a guarantee, even when camping 10 hours.

If Raster has 10% chance to spawn, probability increases to 20% over 10 hour RL camp.

If Raster has 20% chance to spawn, probability increases to 64% over 10 hour RL camp.

If Raster has 25% chance to spawn, probability increases to 88% over 10 hour RL camp.