A shady goblin/Player Agreement

This is a sub-article on a shady goblin NPC and the daily contested turn-in.

Player Agreement on P99 Blue

Refer to P99 forum thread https://www.project1999.com/forums/showthread.php?t=317253

• Upon spawn of "a shady goblin", players will /random 1000
• Time limit to roll is 5 seconds from the first player roll
• Players must maintain a no-trade distance from Goblin spawn, to avoid disputes
• Players must honor their roll and turn in themselves (AKA win the roll and let other person turn in is against this agreement)
• Turning in if NOT roll winner will be petitioned, as per the current player agreement (to be handled by GMs)
• Attacking, casting on, or aggroing Goblin spawn will be petitioned, as per the current player agreement (to be handled by GMs)

Respawn data & method (P99 Blue)

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• Period 1 (2/11/19) - 24 hours 8 minutes (Diamondfist)
• Period 2 (2/12/19) - 26 hours 46 minutes (Bbeta)
• Period 3 (2/13/19) - 25 hours 44 minutes (Murobb)
• Period 4 (2/14/19) - 26 hours 41 minutes (Valewind)
• Period 5 (2/15/19) - 25 hours 44 minutes (Henrique)
• Period 6 (2/16/19) - 26 hours 38 minutes (Phatboil)
• Period 7 (2/17/19) - 24 hours 32 minutes (Woton)
• Period 8 (2/18/19) - 26 hours 43 minutes (Siryado) [broke Player Agreement]
• Period 9 (2/19/19) - 27 hours 24 minutes (Obrez)
• Period 10 (2/21/19*) - 25 hours 35 minutes (Arvan)
  • *past midnight (UTC -5 time)
• Period 11 (2/22/19) - 24 hours 10 minutes (Kunio)
• Period 12 (2/23/19) - 24 hours 55 minutes (Ecaroh)

Longest variance of the window

• 3 hours 16 minutes

Theorycrafting into repawn timer and window

• Given the facts of no repop prior 24:08 hours, no repop past 27:24 hours and a longest window variance of 3:16 hours, with a 12 sample size timers.
• The common knowledge about respawn windows would make us think that a mob who can respawn +3:16 hours after last spawn could also respawn at -3:16 hours from last spawn.
• In this particular case, we have so far a consecutive 12 size sample on which there are 0 negative windows based on the 24 hours mark. The chance, under normal conditions, for this streak would be lower than 0,02%
• While it has no precedent, it sounds reasonable to believe the respawn time chance for this particular mob happens to be between the 24 hours and 27+ hours, without a negative portion on its window as its usual, which make its window keeps moving daily in the time, allowing roll to happen in good time frame for all time zones through the days.
• As the simple size increases, the spawn data will be more accurate